Over half of mortgage industry executives, or 57%, anticipate first-time home buyer growth in 2018, estimating that market will grow at a faster pace than the overall housing market, according to a Genworth Financial survey conducted at this year's Mortgage Bankers Association's Annual Convention in Denver.
About 31% of respondents project the first-time buyer market will grow at the same pace of the overall housing market, while only 12% expect the population's growth to slow.
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Industry professionals were reportedly divided on their expectations for the most likely source for credit expansion next year. Among the most cited sources were LTV loans above 80% and 700 FICO scores below 700. Some respondents also claimed debt-to-income ratios above 41% will most likely be utilized for credit expansion in 2017.
Nearly half of mortgage executives expect a strong lender appetite for non-qualified mortgage loan originations next year, suggesting the housing market is on a strong upward trajectory, according to Genworth.
Respondents cite a lack of down payment and affordable housing inventory among the biggest hurdles for first-time home buyers, but lenders can combat these impediments through consumer outreach.
"Despite their emergence as today's fastest-growing home buying demographic, first-time home buyers still face many headwinds. While some of these, such as shortages in affordable inventory, are environment-driven, others can be addressed via improved awareness on the various low-down-payment solutions available in today's market," said Rohit Gupta, president and CEO of Genworth Mortgage Insurance, in a press release.
"Ensuring that the right tools from both a product and educational standpoint are in place is imperative to supporting the continued positive trajectory for these buyers," said Gupta.