While the four largest publicly-traded title insurers reported strong fourth-quarter financials, the outlook for 2022 is a bit more mixed for a business highly dependent on mortgage origination trends.
Title companies have more competitors compared with the private mortgage-insurance business, where the secondary-market capital requirements serve as a limiting factor to entry.
"We expect the addressable market, as measured by mortgage origination volume, to shrink in 2022 and 2023 and expect competition to heat up in a subsegment of the market, centralized refinance. This should lead to declining revenue and earnings per share in 2022," wrote BTIG analyst Ryan Gilbert, in a report announcing his coverage of the sector. Centralized refinance refers to a central internal unit at the underwriter that handles those applications.
In particular, Gilbert cited
"While a small piece of the refi market now, share could grow quickly in 2022 if order count increases while refi volume contracts 60%," Gilbert continued. "Deeper share gains may require a competitive response from incumbents, which could potentially pressure revenue and margin."
Here are the results for the publicly-traded title insurance underwriters, which shows how the different competitors’ result measure up so far: (First American's results were previously covered at the time of