The resumption of U.S. student-loan payments in the coming weeks will deal a significant and lasting blow to the housing market, according to a new survey of real estate professionals.
After a Supreme Court ruling, forgiveness for education debt looks unlikely but some of those exiting forbearance for it get a year-long break on credit and fees that could be helpful.
Most respondents said that household formation and homeownership rates will be significantly affected for at least a year, and many predicted a longer-lasting impact.
About 70% of student loan borrowers — amounting to some 30 million people — are 25-49 years of age, a time of life when many Americans typically look to set up a new home, perhaps as they get married or have children. That source of demand is likely to come under pressure as household budgets are strained by student loan repayments after almost four years of forbearance.
Homeownership is one of the few ways that lower-income households accumulate
More than three-quarters of the survey respondents said that resumption of federal student-loan payments will have a negative impact on homeownership lasting a year or more, and 40% said it will last for at least three years.
A National Association of Realtors